Brewers at Braves
Last play · Drake Baldwin strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Braves0%
MIL 100%ATL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIL 5 – 2 ATL
Brewers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -130
Braves favored ↑50%Brewers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Andrew Vaughn homers (12) on a fly ball to center field. (inning 4) — -20% Brewers
9Michael Harris II homers (10) on a fly ball to right center field.5–4
6Jurickson Profar homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field.5–3
5Eli White grounds into a force out, third baseman Anthony Seigler to second baseman Brice Turang. Nacho Alvarez Jr. scores. Nick Allen out at 2nd. Eli White to 1st.5–2
5Blake Perkins homers (3) on a fly ball to right field. Christian Yelich scores.5–1
5Andrew Vaughn grounds out, third baseman Nacho Alvarez Jr. to first baseman Matt Olson. Isaac Collins scores. Christian Yelich to 3rd.3–1
4Andrew Vaughn homers (12) on a fly ball to center field.2–1
2Brice Turang doubles (21) on a line drive to left fielder Jurickson Profar. Blake Perkins scores.1–1
1Sean Murphy singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Sal Frelick. Ozzie Albies scores. Marcell Ozuna to 3rd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








