Padres at D-backs
SD10–
AZ5Last play · Blaze Alexander flies out to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr.
Win probability
D-backs0%
SD 100%AZ 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSD 2 – 3 AZ
D-backs led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-135 / +115
D-backs favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓
Biggest swing · Lourdes Gurriel Jr. homers (14) on a fly ball to left center field. Geraldo Perdomo scores. (inning 8) — +44% D-backs
11Freddy Fermin singles on a line drive to right fielder Corbin Carroll. Jake Cronenworth scores. Jose Iglesias to 2nd.10–5
11Jake Cronenworth grounds into a force out, first baseman Tyler Locklear to shortstop Geraldo Perdomo. Xander Bogaerts scores. Ramón Laureano out at 2nd. Jake Cronenworth to 1st.9–5
11Ramón Laureano singles on a line drive to right fielder Corbin Carroll. Manny Machado scores. Xander Bogaerts to 3rd.8–5
11Jackson Merrill out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Alek Thomas. Luis Arraez scores.7–5
11Luis Arraez singles on a fly ball to left fielder Jorge Barrosa. Fernando Tatis Jr. scores. Luis Arraez to 2nd.6–5
8Lourdes Gurriel Jr. homers (14) on a fly ball to left center field. Geraldo Perdomo scores.5–5
7Ramón Laureano doubles (18) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Corbin Carroll. Manny Machado scores. Jackson Merrill scores. Ramón Laureano to 3rd.5–3
6Fernando Tatis Jr. walks. Jake Cronenworth scores. Jose Iglesias to 3rd. Freddy Fermin to 2nd.3–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.