Guardians at Mets
Last play · Mark Vientos flies out sharply to center fielder Angel Martínez.
Win probability
Mets0%
CLE 100%NYM 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 3 – 0 NYM
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+150 / -180
Mets favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Angel Martínez homers (10) on a fly ball to left field. Steven Kwan scores. (inning 3) — -21% Guardians
9Juan Soto homers (26) on a fly ball to center field.4–1
6Gabriel Arias triples (1) on a line drive to right fielder Juan Soto. Carlos Santana scores.4–0
3Angel Martínez homers (10) on a fly ball to left field. Steven Kwan scores.3–0
2David Fry homers (6) on a fly ball to center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








