Giants at Pirates
Last play · Isiah Kiner-Falefa grounds out, first baseman Dominic Smith to pitcher Randy Rodríguez.
Win probability
Pirates0%
SF 100%PIT 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSF 1 – 2 PIT
Pirates led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-150 / +125
Pirates favored ↑50%Giants favored ↓
Biggest swing · Dominic Smith doubles (7) on a line drive to right fielder Bryan Reynolds. Jung Hoo Lee scores. (inning 9) — -33% Giants
9Patrick Bailey singles on a ground ball to right fielder Bryan Reynolds. Dominic Smith scores.4–2
9Dominic Smith doubles (7) on a line drive to right fielder Bryan Reynolds. Jung Hoo Lee scores.3–2
8Matt Chapman out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Tommy Pham. Patrick Bailey scores.2–2
5Tommy Pham out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Jerar Encarnacion. Isiah Kiner-Falefa scores.1–2
5Jerar Encarnacion homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field.1–1
1Nick Gonzales singles on a line drive to left fielder Heliot Ramos. Liover Peguero scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








