Marlins at Braves
Last play · Agustín Ramírez strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Braves100%
MIA 0%ATL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 6 – 2 ATL
Marlins led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-135 / +115
Braves favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Drake Baldwin homers (13) on a fly ball to right center field. Jurickson Profar scores. Matt Olson scores. (inning 6) — +34% Braves
8Matt Olson doubles (28) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Heriberto Hernández.6–8
7Marcell Ozuna reaches on a throwing error by shortstop Otto Lopez. Jurickson Profar scores. Drake Baldwin to 3rd. Marcell Ozuna to 2nd.6–7
7Drake Baldwin singles on a ground ball to left fielder Kyle Stowers. Nacho Alvarez Jr. scores. Jurickson Profar to 2nd.6–6
6Drake Baldwin homers (13) on a fly ball to right center field. Jurickson Profar scores. Matt Olson scores.6–5
4Agustín Ramírez singles on a line drive to right fielder Eli White. Xavier Edwards scores.6–2
2Graham Pauley homers (3) on a fly ball to right field. Eric Wagaman scores.5–2
2Eric Wagaman triples (2) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Michael Harris II. Otto Lopez scores. Jakob Marsee scores.3–2
2Jakob Marsee singles on a fly ball to left fielder Jurickson Profar. Liam Hicks scores. Otto Lopez to 3rd.1–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








