Reds at Pirates
Last play · Ke'Bryan Hayes strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Pirates100%
CIN 0%PIT 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 1 – 1 PIT
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-130 / +105
Pirates favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · Bryan Reynolds triples (3) on a ground ball to right fielder Noelvi Marte. Isiah Kiner-Falefa scores. Tommy Pham scores. (inning 8) — +61% Pirates
8Bryan Reynolds triples (3) on a ground ball to right fielder Noelvi Marte. Isiah Kiner-Falefa scores. Tommy Pham scores.2–3
6Tyler Stephenson doubles (15) on a line drive to right fielder Jack Suwinski. Gavin Lux scores. Miguel Andujar to 3rd.2–1
4Oneil Cruz doubles (17) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Gavin Lux. Bryan Reynolds scores.1–1
2Jake Fraley grounds into a double play, second baseman Liover Peguero to shortstop Jared Triolo to first baseman Spencer Horwitz. Gavin Lux scores. Miguel Andujar to 3rd. Tyler Stephenson out at 2nd. Jake Fraley out at 1st.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








