Cubs at Cardinals
Last play · Dansby Swanson grounds out, second baseman Brendan Donovan to first baseman Willson Contreras.
Win probability
Cardinals100%
CHC 0%STL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCHC 0 – 3 STL
Cardinals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-125 / +105
Cardinals favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jordan Walker singles on a sharp ground ball to shortstop Dansby Swanson. Alec Burleson scores. Masyn Winn to 3rd. (inning 2) — +10% Cardinals
6Pedro Pagés singles on a ground ball to right fielder Kyle Tucker. Thomas Saggese scores.0–5
6Jordan Walker homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field.0–4
5Willson Contreras singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Ian Happ. Garrett Hampson scores. Willson Contreras out at 2nd on the throw, left fielder Ian Happ to third baseman Willi Castro.0–3
5Iván Herrera out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Pedro Pagés scores.0–2
2Jordan Walker singles on a sharp ground ball to shortstop Dansby Swanson. Alec Burleson scores. Masyn Winn to 3rd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








