Rays at Mariners
Last play · Josh Lowe strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Mariners100%
TB 0%SEA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 1 – 0 SEA
Rays led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -145
Mariners favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Cal Raleigh homers (43) on a fly ball to right center field. J.P. Crawford scores. Cole Young scores. (inning 8) — +73% Mariners
8Cal Raleigh homers (43) on a fly ball to right center field. J.P. Crawford scores. Cole Young scores.2–3
6Junior Caminero homers (31) on a fly ball to left field.2–0
1Brandon Lowe homers (21) on a fly ball to right center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








