Nationals at Giants
Last play · Nathaniel Lowe lines out sharply to right fielder Drew Gilbert.
Win probability
Giants100%
WSH 0%SF 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 0 – 2 SF
Giants led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+145 / -175
Giants favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Casey Schmitt homers (7) on a fly ball to left field. Jung Hoo Lee scores. (inning 6) — +9% Giants
8Patrick Bailey singles on a soft ground ball to catcher Drew Millas. Jung Hoo Lee scores.0–5
6Casey Schmitt homers (7) on a fly ball to left field. Jung Hoo Lee scores.0–4
1Matt Chapman singles on a line drive to center fielder Jacob Young. Willy Adames scores. Dominic Smith to 2nd.0–2
1Rafael Devers homers (21) on a fly ball to center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








