Red Sox at Padres
Last play · Jose Iglesias grounds out, shortstop Trevor Story to first baseman Abraham Toro.
Win probability
Padres0%
BOS 100%SD 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 5 – 0 SD
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
Padres favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Wilyer Abreu homers (21) on a fly ball to right center field. Trevor Story scores. (inning 4) — -17% Red Sox
9Masataka Yoshida homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field. Trevor Story scores.10–2
8Jake Cronenworth singles on a line drive to left fielder Roman Anthony. Jose Iglesias scores. Ramón Laureano to 2nd.8–2
8Ramón Laureano grounds into a force out, shortstop Trevor Story to second baseman Ceddanne Rafaela. Bryce Johnson scores. Jose Iglesias to 3rd. Ryan O'Hearn out at 2nd. Ramón Laureano to 1st.8–1
8Connor Wong doubles (3) on a line drive to left fielder Ramón Laureano. Abraham Toro scores. Wilyer Abreu scores. Ceddanne Rafaela scores.8–0
5Alex Bregman grounds out softly, third baseman Manny Machado to first baseman Luis Arraez. Connor Wong scores. Roman Anthony to 2nd.5–0
4Wilyer Abreu homers (21) on a fly ball to right center field. Trevor Story scores.4–0
4Abraham Toro grounds out, second baseman Jake Cronenworth to first baseman Luis Arraez. Trevor Story to 3rd.2–0
4Masataka Yoshida out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Alex Bregman scores. Jarren Duran to 3rd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








