Marlins at Braves
Last play · Otto Lopez called out on strikes.
Win probability
Braves100%
MIA 0%ATL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 4 – 5 ATL
Braves led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
Braves favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Marcell Ozuna homers (18) on a fly ball to left center field. Matt Olson scores. Drake Baldwin scores. (inning 5) — +45% Braves
7Heriberto Hernández singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jurickson Profar. Agustín Ramírez scores. Otto Lopez scores. Jakob Marsee to 2nd.6–8
6Drake Baldwin singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Jakob Marsee. Luke Williams scores. Jurickson Profar scores. Matt Olson to 2nd.4–8
6Matt Olson singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Heriberto Hernández. Vidal Bruján scores. Luke Williams to 3rd. Jurickson Profar to 2nd.4–6
5Marcell Ozuna homers (18) on a fly ball to left center field. Matt Olson scores. Drake Baldwin scores.4–5
5Drake Baldwin singles on a line drive to left fielder Jakob Marsee. Jurickson Profar scores. Matt Olson to 2nd.4–2
4Marcell Ozuna homers (17) on a fly ball to center field.4–1
4Xavier Edwards singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jurickson Profar. Eric Wagaman scores. Graham Pauley scores.4–0
4Eric Wagaman singles on a line drive to center fielder Michael Harris II. Jakob Marsee scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








