Cubs at Cardinals
Last play · Lars Nootbaar strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Cardinals0%
CHC 100%STL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCHC 9 – 0 STL
Cubs led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-125 / +105
Cardinals favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Michael Busch homers (22) on a line drive to right field. Dansby Swanson scores. Matt Shaw scores. (inning 2) — -18% Cubs
6Alec Burleson grounds out to first baseman Michael Busch. Lars Nootbaar scores.9–1
5Matt Shaw homers (8) on a fly ball to left field.9–0
4Ian Happ singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jordan Walker. Kyle Tucker scores. Carson Kelly to 2nd.8–0
3Matt Shaw triples (1) on a ground ball to left fielder Alec Burleson. Dansby Swanson scores.7–0
2Carson Kelly singles on a line drive to right fielder Jordan Walker. Seiya Suzuki scores.6–0
2Michael Busch homers (22) on a line drive to right field. Dansby Swanson scores. Matt Shaw scores.5–0
1Carson Kelly singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jordan Walker. Kyle Tucker scores. Carson Kelly to 2nd. Throwing error by right fielder Jordan Walker.2–0
1Kyle Tucker singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jordan Walker. Michael Busch scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








