Mets at Brewers
Last play · Juan Soto strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Brewers100%
NYM 0%MIL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 4 – 3 MIL
Mets led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Brewers favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Joey Ortiz reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by shortstop Francisco Lindor. Andrew Vaughn scores. Blake Perkins scores. Anthony Seigler to 2nd. Fielding error by shortstop Francisco Lindor. (inning 2) — +25% Brewers
7William Contreras homers (10) on a fly ball to left center field. Isaac Collins scores.4–7
7Isaac Collins reaches on a fielding error by third baseman Ronny Mauricio. Joey Ortiz scores.4–5
7Sal Frelick grounds out, shortstop Francisco Lindor to first baseman Pete Alonso. Brice Turang scores. Joey Ortiz to 3rd.4–4
5Juan Soto homers (28) on a fly ball to right center field.4–3
4Brice Turang homers (10) on a fly ball to center field.3–3
4Cedric Mullins singles on a fly ball to right fielder Sal Frelick. Jeff McNeil scores. Francisco Alvarez to 3rd.3–2
3Starling Marte homers (6) on a fly ball to right field.2–2
2Joey Ortiz reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by shortstop Francisco Lindor. Andrew Vaughn scores. Blake Perkins scores. Anthony Seigler to 2nd. Fielding error by shortstop Francisco Lindor.1–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








