Royals at Twins
Last play · Austin Martin called out on strikes.
Win probability
Twins0%
KC 100%MIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 1 – 0 MIN
Royals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-120 / +100
Twins favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Maikel Garcia doubles (30) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Kody Clemens. Kyle Isbel scores. (inning 3) — -14% Royals
9Jonathan India singles on a sharp ground ball to left fielder Alan Roden. Adam Frazier scores. Mike Yastrzemski to 2nd.2–0
3Maikel Garcia doubles (30) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Kody Clemens. Kyle Isbel scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








