Astros at Yankees
Last play · Jeremy Peña flies out to right fielder Cody Bellinger.
Win probability
Yankees100%
HOU 0%NYY 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 2 – 4 NYY
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
Yankees favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Trent Grisham homers (21) on a fly ball to right center field. (inning 8) — +29% Yankees
8Trent Grisham homers (21) on a fly ball to right center field.4–5
8Christian Walker walks. Jesús Sánchez scores. Jose Altuve to 3rd. Carlos Correa to 2nd.4–4
8Jose Altuve singles on a line drive to left fielder Jasson Domínguez. Cam Smith scores. Jesús Sánchez to 3rd. Jose Altuve to 2nd. Throwing error by left fielder Jasson Domínguez.3–4
5Ben Rice grounds into a double play, second baseman Ramón Urías to shortstop Jeremy Peña to first baseman Christian Walker. Cody Bellinger scores. Giancarlo Stanton out at 2nd. Ben Rice out at 1st.2–4
5Giancarlo Stanton singles on a ground ball to center fielder Chas McCormick. Aaron Judge scores. Cody Bellinger to 3rd.2–3
4Carlos Correa singles on a ground ball to right fielder Giancarlo Stanton. Jesús Sánchez scores. Carlos Correa to 2nd.2–2
1Ben Rice out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Chas McCormick. Aaron Judge scores. Cody Bellinger to 3rd.1–2
1Giancarlo Stanton walks. Paul Goldschmidt scores. Aaron Judge to 3rd. Cody Bellinger to 2nd.1–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








