Reds at Pirates
Last play · Nick Gonzales lines into a double play, shortstop Elly De La Cruz to first baseman Spencer Steer. Oneil Cruz out at 1st.
Win probability
Pirates0%
CIN 100%PIT 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 1 – 1 PIT
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
Pirates favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · TJ Friedl out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Bryan Reynolds. Noelvi Marte scores. (inning 7) — -19% Reds
7TJ Friedl out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Bryan Reynolds. Noelvi Marte scores.2–1
4Noelvi Marte doubles (9) on a ground ball to left fielder Tommy Pham. Spencer Steer scores.1–1
3Tommy Pham out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder TJ Friedl. Jared Triolo scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








