Phillies at Rangers
Last play · Josh Smith grounds out, second baseman Bryson Stott to first baseman Bryce Harper.
Win probability
Rangers0%
PHI 100%TEX 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 0 – 1 TEX
Rangers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -130
Rangers favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Max Kepler doubles (16) on a line drive to right fielder Adolis García. Brandon Marsh scores. Harrison Bader scores. (inning 7) — -41% Phillies
8Corey Seager homers (17) on a fly ball to left center field.3–2
7Bryson Stott singles on a ground ball to right fielder Adolis García. Max Kepler scores.3–1
7Max Kepler doubles (16) on a line drive to right fielder Adolis García. Brandon Marsh scores. Harrison Bader scores.2–1
1Wyatt Langford singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Harrison Bader. Corey Seager scores. Marcus Semien to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








