Rays at Mariners
Last play · Tristan Peters strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Mariners100%
TB 0%SEA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 1 – 6 SEA
Mariners led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+150 / -180
Mariners favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Julio Rodríguez homers (22) on a fly ball to center field. Randy Arozarena scores. (inning 1) — +22% Mariners
6Cal Raleigh grounds out, pitcher Mason Englert to first baseman Yandy Díaz.4–7
6Junior Caminero homers (32) on a fly ball to center field. Yandy Díaz scores. Josh Lowe scores.4–6
3Julio Rodríguez homers (23) on a line drive to left field.1–6
3Cal Raleigh homers (44) on a fly ball to left center field. Cole Young scores. Randy Arozarena scores.1–5
1Julio Rodríguez homers (22) on a fly ball to center field. Randy Arozarena scores.1–2
1Brandon Lowe homers (22) on a fly ball to left field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








