Marlins at Braves
Last play · Javier Sanoja lines out to left fielder Jurickson Profar.
Win probability
Braves100%
MIA 0%ATL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 1 – 3 ATL
Braves led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
Braves favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Matt Olson homers (19) on a fly ball to right center field. (inning 4) — +20% Braves
7Michael Harris II homers (12) on a fly ball to right field.1–7
7Marcell Ozuna homers (19) on a fly ball to left field. Jurickson Profar scores. Matt Olson scores.1–6
5Sean Murphy grounds out, pitcher Tyler Phillips to first baseman Eric Wagaman.1–3
5Jurickson Profar doubles (8) on a fly ball to right fielder Heriberto Hernández. Nacho Alvarez Jr. scores.1–2
4Matt Olson homers (19) on a fly ball to right center field.1–1
2Liam Hicks singles on a line drive to right fielder Eli White. Derek Hill scores. Liam Hicks to 3rd. Liam Hicks advances to 3rd, on a throwing error by catcher Sean Murphy.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








