Phillies at Rangers
Last play · Josh Smith strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Rangers0%
PHI 100%TEX 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 3 – 2 TEX
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 6.5 ↑
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-165 / +140
Rangers favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Joc Pederson homers (4) on a fly ball to right field. Marcus Semien scores. (inning 1) — +17% Rangers
9Brandon Marsh out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Josh Smith. Harrison Bader scores.4–2
5Weston Wilson singles on a line drive to center fielder Wyatt Langford. Bryson Stott scores. Weston Wilson to 2nd.3–2
5Edmundo Sosa homers (6) on a fly ball to left center field.2–2
4Bryce Harper doubles (26) on a line drive to right fielder Adolis García. Trea Turner scores.1–2
1Joc Pederson homers (4) on a fly ball to right field. Marcus Semien scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








