Mets at Brewers
Last play · Isaac Collins homers (8) on a fly ball to right field.
Win probability
Brewers100%
NYM 0%MIL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 6 – 5 MIL
Mets led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Brewers favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Joey Ortiz singles on a ground ball to right fielder Juan Soto, deflected by first baseman Pete Alonso. Brice Turang scores. Danny Jansen to 2nd. (inning 8) — +32% Brewers
9Isaac Collins homers (8) on a fly ball to right field.6–7
8Joey Ortiz singles on a ground ball to right fielder Juan Soto, deflected by first baseman Pete Alonso. Brice Turang scores. Danny Jansen to 2nd.6–6
5William Contreras homers (12) on a fly ball to right field. Isaac Collins scores.6–5
5Pete Alonso doubles (29) on a fly ball to right fielder Brandon Lockridge. Juan Soto scores.6–3
4Joey Ortiz singles on a ground ball to left fielder Brandon Nimmo. Andruw Monasterio scores. Danny Jansen scores. Brandon Lockridge to 2nd.5–3
4William Contreras homers (11) on a fly ball to left field.5–1
4Cedric Mullins homers (16) on a fly ball to left center field.5–0
3Ronny Mauricio singles on a line drive to right fielder Brandon Lockridge. Pete Alonso scores. Ronny Mauricio out at 2nd on the throw, right fielder Brandon Lockridge to catcher Danny Jansen to shortstop Joey Ortiz.4–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








