Astros at Yankees
Last play · Anthony Volpe strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Yankees0%
HOU 100%NYY 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 4 – 0 NYY
Astros led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 6.5 ↑
fair over 44.7% · hold 4%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+185 / -225
Yankees favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Cam Smith doubles (19) on a line drive to right fielder Cody Bellinger. Carlos Correa scores. Christian Walker scores. Jesús Sánchez to 3rd. (inning 5) — -17% Astros
9Mauricio Dubón singles on a ground ball to shortstop Anthony Volpe. Christian Walker scores. Ramón Urías to 3rd.7–1
9Ramón Urías singles on a fly ball to left fielder Cody Bellinger. Jose Altuve scores.6–1
9Carlos Correa homers (9) on a fly ball to left field.5–1
7Ryan McMahon out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Taylor Trammell. Jazz Chisholm Jr. scores.4–1
5Cam Smith doubles (19) on a line drive to right fielder Cody Bellinger. Carlos Correa scores. Christian Walker scores. Jesús Sánchez to 3rd.4–0
3Christian Walker doubles (18) on a fly ball to center fielder Trent Grisham. Jose Altuve scores.2–0
1Jose Altuve homers (21) on a fly ball to left field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








