Royals at Twins
Last play · Luke Keaschall homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field. Kody Clemens scores.
Win probability
Twins100%
KC 0%MIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 1 – 2 MIN
Twins led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
Twins favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Vinnie Pasquantino homers (20) on a fly ball to right center field. Maikel Garcia scores. (inning 7) — -41% Royals
11Luke Keaschall homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field. Kody Clemens scores.3–5
8Ryan Jeffers singles on a line drive to left fielder John Rave. Austin Martin scores.3–3
7Vinnie Pasquantino homers (20) on a fly ball to right center field. Maikel Garcia scores.3–2
3Ryan Fitzgerald homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Mickey Gasper scores.1–2
1Adam Frazier singles on a line drive to right fielder Trevor Larnach. Mike Yastrzemski scores. Salvador Perez to 3rd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








