Pirates at Brewers
Last play · Nick Gonzales grounds out, pitcher Shelby Miller to first baseman Andrew Vaughn.
Win probability
Brewers100%
PIT 0%MIL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPIT 1 – 6 MIL
Brewers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+155 / -185
Brewers favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓
Biggest swing · Joey Bart homers (2) on a fly ball to right field. (inning 3) — -15% Pirates
6William Contreras singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Bryan Reynolds. Isaac Collins scores.1–7
4Andrew Vaughn out on a sacrifice bunt, first baseman Liover Peguero to pitcher Andrew Heaney. Isaac Collins scores. Christian Yelich to 2nd.1–6
3Brice Turang strikes out on a foul tip.1–5
3Brandon Lockridge singles on a line drive to right fielder Bryan Reynolds. Sal Frelick scores.1–4
3Sal Frelick singles on a ground ball to right fielder Bryan Reynolds. Andrew Vaughn scores. Sal Frelick to 2nd.1–3
3Christian Yelich homers (22) on a fly ball to center field.1–2
3Joey Bart homers (2) on a fly ball to right field.1–1
1Brice Turang homers (11) on a fly ball to center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








