Nationals at Royals
Last play · Josh Bell grounds out, third baseman Maikel Garcia to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino.
Win probability
Royals100%
WSH 0%KC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 4 – 2 KC
Nationals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+130 / -155
Royals favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Salvador Perez homers (21) on a fly ball to left field. Maikel Garcia scores. (inning 6) — +31% Royals
8Mike Yastrzemski out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder James Wood. Tyler Tolbert scores.4–7
6Kyle Isbel homers (4) on a line drive to right field. Nick Loftin scores.4–6
6Salvador Perez homers (21) on a fly ball to left field. Maikel Garcia scores.4–4
5Paul DeJong homers (4) on a fly ball to center field. James Wood scores.4–2
2Nick Loftin out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jacob Young. Salvador Perez scores. Adam Frazier to 3rd. Randal Grichuk to 2nd.2–2
2Adam Frazier singles on a line drive to left fielder James Wood. Maikel Garcia scores. Salvador Perez to 2nd.2–1
1Josh Bell homers (15) on a fly ball to left center field. James Wood scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








