Red Sox at Astros
Last play · Roman Anthony strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Astros100%
BOS 0%HOU 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 2 – 7 HOU
Astros led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 55.3% · hold 4%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
Astros favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Christian Walker doubles (20) on a line drive to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Jeremy Peña scores. Carlos Correa scores. (inning 3) — +25% Astros
7Roman Anthony homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field. Connor Wong scores.6–7
7Masataka Yoshida doubles (5) on a fly ball to right fielder Cam Smith. Ceddanne Rafaela scores.4–7
7Abraham Toro homers (7) on a fly ball to right center field.3–7
5Ramón Urías homers (9) on a fly ball to left field. Christian Walker scores.2–7
4Chas McCormick homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field. Ramón Urías scores.2–5
3Christian Walker doubles (20) on a line drive to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Jeremy Peña scores. Carlos Correa scores.2–3
3Carlos Correa singles on a ground ball to right fielder Wilyer Abreu. Cam Smith scores. Jeremy Peña to 2nd.2–1
1Alex Bregman homers (15) on a fly ball to left field. Roman Anthony scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








