Phillies at Reds
Last play · Nick Castellanos strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Reds100%
PHI 0%CIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 0 – 3 CIN
Reds led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-150 / +125
Reds favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Spencer Steer doubles (17) on a line drive to left fielder Max Kepler. Jose Trevino scores. TJ Friedl scores. (inning 3) — +23% Reds
9Bryce Harper homers (18) on a fly ball to right center field.1–6
6Spencer Steer out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Brandon Marsh. Jose Trevino scores. Santiago Espinal to 3rd.0–6
6Jose Trevino singles on a line drive to center fielder Brandon Marsh. Austin Hays scores. Matt McLain scores.0–5
4Miguel Andujar homers (8) on a line drive to left field.0–3
3Spencer Steer doubles (17) on a line drive to left fielder Max Kepler. Jose Trevino scores. TJ Friedl scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








