Mariners at Orioles
Last play · Ryan Mountcastle grounds out, shortstop J.P. Crawford to first baseman Josh Naylor.
Win probability
Orioles0%
SEA 100%BAL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSEA 1 – 0 BAL
Mariners led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-155 / +130
Orioles favored ↑50%Mariners favored ↓
Biggest swing · Randy Arozarena grounds out, third baseman Jordan Westburg to first baseman Coby Mayo. (inning 9) — -14% Mariners
1Josh Naylor singles on a ground ball to right fielder Ryan Noda. Randy Arozarena scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








