Twins at Yankees
Last play · Luke Keaschall flies out to center fielder Trent Grisham.
Win probability
Yankees100%
MIN 0%NYY 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 1 – 5 NYY
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+180 / -215
Yankees favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Anthony Volpe homers (18) on a fly ball to right center field. Jazz Chisholm Jr. scores. Ryan McMahon scores. (inning 2) — +26% Yankees
8J.C. Escarra grounds out, second baseman Luke Keaschall to first baseman Edouard Julien. Jazz Chisholm Jr. scores.1–9
7Giancarlo Stanton singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Kody Clemens. Ryan McMahon scores. Aaron Judge scores. Cody Bellinger to 3rd.1–8
7Cody Bellinger walks. Paul Goldschmidt scores. Ryan McMahon to 3rd. Aaron Judge to 2nd.1–6
5Giancarlo Stanton homers (12) on a fly ball to center field.1–5
2Anthony Volpe homers (18) on a fly ball to right center field. Jazz Chisholm Jr. scores. Ryan McMahon scores.1–4
1Aaron Judge homers (38) on a fly ball to center field.1–1
1Royce Lewis grounds into a force out, shortstop Anthony Volpe to second baseman Jazz Chisholm Jr. Austin Martin scores. Byron Buxton to 3rd. Ryan Jeffers out at 2nd. Royce Lewis to 1st.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








