Last play · Marcell Ozuna strikes out on a foul tip.
Win probability
Mets100%
ATL 0%NYM 100%
First 5 (F5)
final
ATL 5 – 10 NYM
Mets led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference
+120 / -145
Mets favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brandon Nimmo homers (20) on a fly ball to right center field. Francisco Lindor scores. Juan Soto scores. (inning 4) — +29% Mets
7Brett Baty homers (13) on a fly ball to center field.5–13
7Francisco Alvarez homers (6) on a fly ball to left center field.5–12
6Pete Alonso homers (28) on a fly ball to center field.5–11
5Brett Baty singles on a ground ball to center fielder Michael Harris II. Francisco Alvarez scores.5–10
5Francisco Alvarez doubles (7) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Michael Harris II. Cedric Mullins scores.5–9
4Brandon Nimmo homers (20) on a fly ball to right center field. Francisco Lindor scores. Juan Soto scores.5–8
4Matt Olson doubles (30) on a fly ball to left fielder Brandon Nimmo. Nacho Alvarez Jr. scores. Jurickson Profar to 3rd.5–5
4Jurickson Profar grounds into a force out, second baseman Jeff McNeil to shortstop Francisco Lindor. Vidal Bruján scores. Nacho Alvarez Jr. to 3rd. Nick Allen out at 2nd. Jurickson Profar to 1st.4–5
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.