Pirates at Brewers
Last play · Liover Peguero flies out to center fielder Blake Perkins.
Win probability
Brewers100%
PIT 0%MIL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPIT 0 – 6 MIL
Brewers led after 5
Total runs
6.5
opened 7.5 ↓
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -145
Brewers favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓
Biggest swing · Sal Frelick homers (9) on a fly ball to right field. (inning 1) — +13% Brewers
8Caleb Durbin homers (6) on a fly ball to center field. Danny Jansen scores.0–14
6Andrew Vaughn homers (13) on a fly ball to left field. William Contreras scores. Christian Yelich scores.0–12
6Christian Yelich singles on a line drive to center fielder Jack Suwinski. Sal Frelick scores. William Contreras to 3rd.0–9
6William Contreras singles on a line drive to left fielder Tommy Pham. Joey Ortiz scores. Sal Frelick to 2nd.0–8
6Isaac Collins out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Bryan Reynolds. Blake Perkins scores. Joey Ortiz to 3rd.0–7
5Christian Yelich homers (23) on a fly ball to left center field. William Contreras scores.0–6
4Sal Frelick singles on a ground ball to right fielder Bryan Reynolds. Joey Ortiz scores.0–4
4Brice Turang homers (12) on a fly ball to center field.0–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








