Nationals at Royals
Last play · CJ Abrams lines out sharply to center fielder Kyle Isbel.
Win probability
Royals100%
WSH 0%KC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 1 – 4 KC
Royals led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+160 / -190
Royals favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Vinnie Pasquantino homers (21) on a line drive to right field. Maikel Garcia scores. Bobby Witt Jr. scores. (inning 3) — +22% Royals
8Daylen Lile singles on a line drive to right fielder Randal Grichuk. Paul DeJong scores.5–8
7Vinnie Pasquantino doubles (19) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Daylen Lile. Tyler Tolbert scores. Bobby Witt Jr. to 3rd.4–8
7CJ Abrams singles on a ground ball to right fielder Randal Grichuk. James Wood scores.4–7
7James Wood doubles (26) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Nick Loftin. Robert Hassell III scores.3–7
6Jonathan India homers (7) on a fly ball to left field. Randal Grichuk scores.2–7
6Randal Grichuk doubles (17) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Daylen Lile. Bobby Witt Jr. scores.2–5
6Paul DeJong pops into a force out, center fielder Tyler Tolbert to second baseman Jonathan India. CJ Abrams scores. Josh Bell out at 2nd. Paul DeJong to 1st.2–4
5Luis García Jr. triples (1) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Randal Grichuk. Riley Adams scores.1–4
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








