Cubs at Blue Jays
Last play · Seiya Suzuki strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Blue Jays100%
CHC 0%TOR 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCHC 0 – 4 TOR
Blue Jays led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 55.3% · hold 4%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Blue Jays favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ernie Clement homers (9) on a fly ball to left field. Daulton Varsho scores. Ty France scores. (inning 4) — +21% Blue Jays
8Daulton Varsho homers (12) on a fly ball to right field.1–5
7Michael Busch singles on a line drive to center fielder Daulton Varsho. Dansby Swanson scores. Willi Castro to 2nd.1–4
4Ernie Clement homers (9) on a fly ball to left field. Daulton Varsho scores. Ty France scores.0–4
1Alejandro Kirk singles on a ground ball to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Bo Bichette scores. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








