Marlins at Guardians
Last play · CJ Kayfus strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Guardians0%
MIA 100%CLE 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 6 – 4 CLE
Marlins led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
Guardians favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Gabriel Arias homers (9) on a fly ball to left field. Kyle Manzardo scores. CJ Kayfus scores. (inning 4) — +37% Guardians
7Agustín Ramírez singles on a line drive to center fielder Angel Martínez. Graham Pauley scores. Kyle Stowers scores.13–4
6Jakob Marsee doubles (6) on a line drive to left fielder Steven Kwan. Agustín Ramírez scores. Liam Hicks scores.11–4
6Liam Hicks hits a ground-rule double (10) on a line drive down the left-field line. Kyle Stowers scores. Agustín Ramírez to 3rd.9–4
6Kyle Stowers singles on a line drive to center fielder Angel Martínez. Xavier Edwards scores.8–4
6Graham Pauley homers (4) on a line drive to right center field.7–4
5Jakob Marsee homers (3) on a line drive to right field. Liam Hicks scores.6–4
4Gabriel Arias homers (9) on a fly ball to left field. Kyle Manzardo scores. CJ Kayfus scores.4–4
1Steven Kwan homers (10) on a fly ball to right field.4–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








