Phillies at Reds
Last play · Nick Castellanos flies out to right fielder Noelvi Marte.
Win probability
Reds100%
PHI 0%CIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 0 – 1 CIN
Reds led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-125 / +105
Reds favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Noelvi Marte doubles (13) on a line drive to left fielder Brandon Marsh. Austin Hays scores. Noelvi Marte out at 3rd on the throw, left fielder Brandon Marsh to shortstop Trea Turner to catcher J.T. Realmuto to third baseman Otto Kemp. (inning 4) — +13% Reds
7Miguel Andujar hits a grand slam (9) to left center field. Ke'Bryan Hayes scores. TJ Friedl scores. Elly De La Cruz scores.0–8
6Noelvi Marte singles on a line drive to left fielder Brandon Marsh. Austin Hays scores. Noelvi Marte scores. Throwing error by left fielder Brandon Marsh. Throwing error by pitcher Cristopher Sánchez.0–4
6Austin Hays doubles (11) on a line drive to left fielder Brandon Marsh. Elly De La Cruz scores.0–2
4Noelvi Marte doubles (13) on a line drive to left fielder Brandon Marsh. Austin Hays scores. Noelvi Marte out at 3rd on the throw, left fielder Brandon Marsh to shortstop Trea Turner to catcher J.T. Realmuto to third baseman Otto Kemp.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








