Mariners at Orioles
Last play · Jackson Holliday doubles (16) on a line drive to right fielder Dylan Moore. Dylan Carlson scores.
Win probability
Orioles100%
SEA 0%BAL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSEA 0 – 0 BAL
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-150 / +125
Orioles favored ↑50%Mariners favored ↓
Biggest swing · Dominic Canzone out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Greg Allen. Eugenio Suárez scores. (inning 9) — -38% Mariners
9Jackson Holliday doubles (16) on a line drive to right fielder Dylan Moore. Dylan Carlson scores.3–4
9Dominic Canzone out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Greg Allen. Eugenio Suárez scores.3–3
9Josh Naylor grounds out, second baseman Jackson Holliday to first baseman Coby Mayo. Julio Rodríguez scores. Eugenio Suárez to 3rd.2–3
7Jeremiah Jackson triples (2) on a fly ball to right fielder Dylan Moore. Coby Mayo scores. Jeremiah Jackson scores. Throwing error by first baseman Josh Naylor.1–3
7Ryan Mountcastle homers (4) on a line drive to center field.1–1
7Josh Naylor singles on a ground ball to right fielder Ryan Noda. Julio Rodríguez scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








