Nationals at Royals
WSH8–
KC7Last play · Tyler Tolbert grounds into a force out, shortstop CJ Abrams to second baseman Luis García Jr. Randal Grichuk out at 2nd.
Win probability
Royals0%
WSH 100%KC 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 7 – 6 KC
Nationals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 55.3% · hold 4%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+145 / -175
Royals favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Nathaniel Lowe hits a grand slam (16) to right field. James Wood scores. Luis García Jr. scores. Josh Bell scores. (inning 1) — -38% Nationals
9Daylen Lile singles on a line drive to right fielder Randal Grichuk. Luis García Jr. scores. Nathaniel Lowe to 2nd.8–7
8Bobby Witt Jr. out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Robert Hassell III. Tyler Tolbert scores.7–7
4Vinnie Pasquantino homers (22) on a fly ball to right field. Mike Yastrzemski scores. Bobby Witt Jr. scores.7–6
4CJ Abrams homers (16) on a fly ball to right field.7–3
3Brady House singles on a ground ball to center fielder Kyle Isbel. Daylen Lile scores. Drew Millas to 2nd.6–3
2Bobby Witt Jr. singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Daylen Lile. John Rave scores. Kyle Isbel to 3rd.5–3
1Adam Frazier singles on a ground ball to left fielder James Wood. Bobby Witt Jr. scores. Maikel Garcia to 2nd.5–2
1Vinnie Pasquantino grounds out, second baseman Luis García Jr. to first baseman Nathaniel Lowe. Mike Yastrzemski scores. Bobby Witt Jr. to 3rd.5–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.