Rockies at Cardinals
Last play · Brendan Donovan flies out to center fielder Mickey Moniak.
Win probability
Cardinals0%
COL 100%STL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCOL 2 – 5 STL
Cardinals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+185 / -225
Cardinals favored ↑50%Rockies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Hunter Goodman homers (24) on a fly ball to center field. Kyle Karros scores. (inning 9) — -71% Rockies
9Hunter Goodman homers (24) on a fly ball to center field. Kyle Karros scores.6–5
7Braxton Fulford out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Lars Nootbaar. Kyle Karros scores.4–5
6Mickey Moniak homers (18) on a fly ball to right center field.3–5
5Alec Burleson homers (15) on a fly ball to right field. Masyn Winn scores.2–5
5Braxton Fulford grounds out, second baseman Brendan Donovan to first baseman Alec Burleson. Kyle Karros scores. Yanquiel Fernández to 2nd.2–3
4Lars Nootbaar homers (13) on a fly ball to right center field.1–3
4Ezequiel Tovar singles on a line drive to center fielder Lars Nootbaar. Tyler Freeman scores. Mickey Moniak to 2nd.1–2
2Pedro Pagés doubles (13) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Jordan Beck. Lars Nootbaar scores. Thomas Saggese scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








