Cubs at Blue Jays
Last play · Addison Barger grounds out, second baseman Nico Hoerner to first baseman Michael Busch.
Win probability
Blue Jays0%
CHC 100%TOR 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCHC 2 – 0 TOR
Cubs led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -130
Blue Jays favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Vladimir Guerrero Jr. doubles (29) on a sharp ground ball to left fielder Ian Happ. Andrés Giménez scores. Bo Bichette to 3rd. (inning 6) — +16% Blue Jays
8Seiya Suzuki singles on a ground ball to center fielder Daulton Varsho. Reese McGuire scores.4–1
8Michael Busch out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Daulton Varsho. Matt Shaw scores. Reese McGuire to 2nd.3–1
6Vladimir Guerrero Jr. doubles (29) on a sharp ground ball to left fielder Ian Happ. Andrés Giménez scores. Bo Bichette to 3rd.2–1
5Matt Shaw homers (10) on a fly ball to left field.2–0
3Michael Busch homers (23) on a fly ball to right field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








