Braves at Mets
Last play · Cedric Mullins flies out to left fielder Jurickson Profar.
Win probability
Mets0%
ATL 100%NYM 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 9 – 6 NYM
Braves led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+170 / -200
Mets favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Michael Harris II hits a grand slam (13) to center field. Matt Olson scores. Marcell Ozuna scores. Sean Murphy scores. (inning 4) — -47% Braves
6Marcell Ozuna homers (20) on a fly ball to left field. Matt Olson scores.11–6
4Michael Harris II hits a grand slam (13) to center field. Matt Olson scores. Marcell Ozuna scores. Sean Murphy scores.9–6
4Marcell Ozuna singles on a line drive to left fielder Brandon Nimmo. Jurickson Profar scores. Matt Olson to 3rd.5–6
4Jurickson Profar doubles (9) on a line drive to left fielder Brandon Nimmo. Michael Harris II scores. Nacho Alvarez Jr. scores. Nick Allen scores.4–6
4Nick Allen walks. Sean Murphy scores. Michael Harris II to 3rd. Nacho Alvarez Jr. to 2nd.1–6
2Jeff McNeil doubles (13) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Eli White. Brandon Nimmo scores.0–6
2Juan Soto homers (29) on a fly ball to center field. Francisco Lindor scores.0–5
1Braves challenged (tag-up play), call on the field was upheld: Cedric Mullins out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Eli White. Brandon Nimmo scores.0–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








