Pirates at Brewers
Last play · Alexander Canario strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Brewers100%
PIT 0%MIL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPIT 3 – 6 MIL
Brewers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+205 / -250
Brewers favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓
Biggest swing · Bryan Reynolds homers (13) on a fly ball to right center field. Ronny Simon scores. (inning 6) — -22% Pirates
7Christian Yelich singles on a line drive to center fielder Alexander Canario. Joey Ortiz scores. Sal Frelick scores. William Contreras to 3rd.5–12
7William Contreras walks. Caleb Durbin scores. Joey Ortiz to 3rd. Sal Frelick to 2nd.5–10
7Joey Ortiz singles on a ground ball to center fielder Alexander Canario. Blake Perkins scores. Anthony Seigler to 3rd. Joey Ortiz to 2nd.5–9
6William Contreras singles on a ground ball to right fielder Ronny Simon. Joey Ortiz scores. Sal Frelick scores.5–8
6Bryan Reynolds homers (13) on a fly ball to right center field. Ronny Simon scores.5–6
5Bryan Reynolds homers (12) on a fly ball to right field. Ronny Simon scores. Spencer Horwitz scores.3–6
4William Contreras singles on a ground ball to left fielder Tommy Pham. Isaac Collins scores.0–6
4Isaac Collins doubles (15) on a line drive to left fielder Tommy Pham. Sal Frelick scores.0–5
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








