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Red Sox at Astros

BOS1HOU4
Final
Inn123456789RHE
BOS010000000180
HOU20000200·440
Last play · Rob Refsnyder strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Astros100%
BOS 0%HOU 100%
First 5 (F5)
final
BOS 12 HOU
Astros led after 5
Inning 1: Jeremy Peña homers (13) on a fly ball to left field.Inning 1: Yainer Diaz singles on a line drive to left fielder Roman Anthony. Jose Altuve scores. Victor Caratini to 2nd.Inning 2: Ceddanne Rafaela singles on a line drive to center fielder Jacob Melton. Trevor Story scores. Wilyer Abreu to 3rd.Inning 6: Yainer Diaz homers (17) on a fly ball to left center field. Victor Caratini scores.
Astros favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓

Biggest swing · Yainer Diaz homers (17) on a fly ball to left center field. Victor Caratini scores. (inning 6) — +17% Astros

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.