Braves at Mets
Last play · Cedric Mullins lines out to center fielder Michael Harris II.
Win probability
Mets0%
ATL 100%NYM 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 1 – 1 NYM
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+155 / -185
Mets favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ozzie Albies doubles (16) on a line drive to right fielder Juan Soto. Michael Harris II scores. (inning 8) — -26% Braves
8Ozzie Albies doubles (16) on a line drive to right fielder Juan Soto. Michael Harris II scores.4–3
8Michael Harris II doubles (20) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Eli White scores.3–3
6Pete Alonso singles on a sharp ground ball to left fielder Jurickson Profar. Juan Soto scores.2–3
6Brandon Nimmo out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Jurickson Profar. Francisco Lindor scores.2–2
6Ozzie Albies singles on a line drive to left fielder Brandon Nimmo. Drake Baldwin scores. Michael Harris II to 2nd.2–1
4Ozzie Albies homers (10) on a fly ball to right center field.1–1
3Francisco Lindor homers (22) on a fly ball to center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








