Cubs at Blue Jays
Last play · Dansby Swanson strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Blue Jays100%
CHC 0%TOR 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCHC 0 – 0 TOR
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
Blue Jays favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Vladimir Guerrero Jr. homers (20) on a fly ball to center field. Davis Schneider scores. (inning 7) — +44% Blue Jays
7Vladimir Guerrero Jr. homers (20) on a fly ball to center field. Davis Schneider scores.1–2
6Michael Busch homers (24) on a fly ball to right center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








