Marlins at Guardians
Last play · Liam Hicks lines out to shortstop Gabriel Arias.
Win probability
Guardians100%
MIA 0%CLE 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 4 – 5 CLE
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Guardians favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Otto Lopez reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by shortstop Gabriel Arias. Kyle Stowers scores. Agustín Ramírez scores. Missed catch error by catcher Austin Hedges, assist to shortstop Gabriel Arias. (inning 1) — -16% Marlins
7Austin Hedges out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jakob Marsee. David Fry scores.4–9
7Brayan Rocchio singles on a line drive to right fielder Heriberto Hernández. Nolan Jones scores. David Fry to 3rd.4–8
7David Fry singles on a line drive to left fielder Kyle Stowers. Gabriel Arias scores. CJ Kayfus to 3rd.4–7
7CJ Kayfus reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by shortstop Otto Lopez. José Ramírez scores. Gabriel Arias to 3rd.4–6
5Gabriel Arias out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Heriberto Hernández. José Ramírez scores.4–5
5Kyle Manzardo singles on a ground ball to left fielder Kyle Stowers. Steven Kwan scores. José Ramírez to 3rd.4–4
4Heriberto Hernández singles on a ground ball to center fielder Angel Martínez, deflected by second baseman Brayan Rocchio. Liam Hicks scores. Otto Lopez to 2nd.4–3
1Gabriel Arias grounds out, shortstop Otto Lopez to first baseman Troy Johnston. José Ramírez scores.3–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








