Tigers at Twins
Last play · Royce Lewis strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Twins0%
DET 100%MIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 2 – 3 MIN
Twins led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-205 / +170
Twins favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Gleyber Torres out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Trevor Larnach. Colt Keith scores. (inning 11) — -44% Tigers
11Gleyber Torres out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Trevor Larnach. Colt Keith scores.4–3
6Colt Keith singles on a line drive to center fielder Austin Martin. Javier Báez scores.3–3
4Riley Greene homers (28) on a fly ball to right field. Kerry Carpenter scores.2–3
3Luke Keaschall singles on a line drive to left fielder Riley Greene. Byron Buxton scores.0–3
3Ryan Jeffers grounds out, third baseman Zach McKinstry to first baseman Spencer Torkelson. Austin Martin scores. Byron Buxton to 2nd.0–2
3Edouard Julien homers (3) on a fly ball to right field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








