Marlins at Red Sox
Last play · Trevor Story singles on a ground ball to right fielder Dane Myers. Roman Anthony scores. Alex Bregman to 3rd. Jarren Duran to 2nd.
Win probability
Red Sox100%
MIA 0%BOS 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 1 – 0 BOS
Marlins led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+140 / -165
Red Sox favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Alex Bregman doubles (23) on a line drive to right fielder Dane Myers. Roman Anthony scores. (inning 6) — +15% Red Sox
9Trevor Story singles on a ground ball to right fielder Dane Myers. Roman Anthony scores. Alex Bregman to 3rd. Jarren Duran to 2nd.1–2
6Alex Bregman doubles (23) on a line drive to right fielder Dane Myers. Roman Anthony scores.1–1
3Kyle Stowers doubles (21) on a fly ball to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Xavier Edwards scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








