Phillies at Nationals
Last play · Riley Adams lines out sharply to right fielder Nick Castellanos.
Win probability
Nationals0%
PHI 100%WSH 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 2 – 2 WSH
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-205 / +170
Nationals favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kyle Schwarber homers (43) on a fly ball to right center field. Bryson Stott scores. Brandon Marsh scores. (inning 7) — -41% Phillies
7Bryce Harper homers (19) on a fly ball to center field.6–2
7Kyle Schwarber homers (43) on a fly ball to right center field. Bryson Stott scores. Brandon Marsh scores.5–2
4Daylen Lile homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field.2–2
1CJ Abrams doubles (26) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Harrison Bader. James Wood scores.2–1
1Bryce Harper doubles (28) on a line drive to right fielder Dylan Crews. Trea Turner scores. Kyle Schwarber scores. Throwing error by right fielder Dylan Crews.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








