Pirates at Cubs
Last play · Dansby Swanson grounds out, shortstop Jared Triolo to first baseman Spencer Horwitz.
Win probability
Cubs0%
PIT 100%CHC 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalPIT 1 – 1 CHC
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+155 / -185
Cubs favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jack Suwinski homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field. (inning 9) — -33% Pirates
9Jack Suwinski homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field.3–2
7Matt Shaw out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jack Suwinski. Pete Crow-Armstrong scores.2–2
7Isiah Kiner-Falefa doubles (17) on a fly ball to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Jared Triolo scores.2–1
4Pete Crow-Armstrong singles on a line drive to right fielder Bryan Reynolds. Seiya Suzuki scores. Pete Crow-Armstrong out at 2nd on the throw, right fielder Bryan Reynolds to shortstop Jared Triolo.1–1
4Andrew McCutchen doubles (17) on a line drive to right fielder Seiya Suzuki. Nick Gonzales scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








