Last play · Pete Alonso grounds out, second baseman Cole Young to first baseman Dylan Moore.
Win probability
Mets0%
SEA 100%NYM 0%
First 5 (F5)
final
SEA 4 – 6 NYM
Mets led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference
+115 / -135
Mets favored ↑50%Mariners favored ↓
Biggest swing · Francisco Lindor homers (24) on a fly ball to right center field. Ronny Mauricio scores. (inning 4) — +30% Mets
8Francisco Alvarez homers (7) on a fly ball to right field. Jeff McNeil scores. Cedric Mullins scores.11–9
8Julio Rodríguez doubles (21) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Cal Raleigh scores.11–6
7Cole Young doubles (7) on a ground ball to right fielder Juan Soto. Mitch Garver scores. Dylan Moore scores.10–6
7Donovan Solano doubles (4) on a fly ball to left fielder Brandon Nimmo. Dominic Canzone scores. Mitch Garver to 3rd.8–6
7Dominic Canzone singles on a ground ball to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Eugenio Suárez scores.7–6
7Eugenio Suárez doubles (21) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Brandon Nimmo. Cal Raleigh scores.6–6
6Cole Young singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Donovan Solano scores.5–6
4Juan Soto homers (30) on a fly ball to center field.4–6
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
SEA11–
NYM9